RAiD 10.71790/f0d5fb46
NESP CS Project 5.4 - Projection verification

Dates

Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026

Titles

Title
NESP CS Project 5.4 - Projection verification
Title Type
Primary
Title Type:
Primary
 Preferred full description or abstract.
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Language
English

Descriptions

Description

This project critically evaluates climate models to improve our confidence in projections of rainfall drivers, and predictions of extreme events like land-falling tropical cyclones under a future climate state. By enhancing our confidence in the modelling, Australia’s climate-related decisions and risk management strategies will be informed by the best possible evidence.

Increasing confidence in modelling Australia’s future weather and climate hazards Global and regional climate models are essential tools to predict climate hazards and extreme events, helping us understand how our world will change in a warming climate. Confidence in the reliability of modelled climate projections for Australia heavily depends on the models‘ capability to simulate Australia’s rainfall, temperature, and climate processes that affect extreme rainfall, such as the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Under a warming climate, local factors and land surface changes could affect tropical cyclones and the rainfall they bring. This project takes the next step by closely examining climate model simulations to better understand key climate processes and extreme events.

By assessing past and future trends, the project will refine our understanding of how climate change may shape Australia’s climate. Through detailed case studies, researchers will evaluate climate models against observed events, providing clearer insights into whether current projections accurately reflect future conditions. These findings will support evidence-based policy decisions and improve risk management strategies.

Strengthening confidence in decision-making around future climate hazards through case studies Another key focus is enhancing model evaluation to offer critical insights for climate risk assessors, including the Australian Climate Service (ACS). Improved projections will support governments, industries, and ecosystem managers in making informed decisions on climate risks.

The project’s findings will also contribute to better forecasting capabilities for climate models like ACCESS, offering more accurate predictions for extreme rainfall, tropical cyclones, and other critical risks. This will help inform responses in areas such as water and ecological management, infrastructure planning, and emergency preparedness — equipping stakeholders with tools to mitigate the impacts of future extreme events.
Description Type

Primary
Description Type:

Primary

 Preferred full description or abstract
Language
English

Contributors

Name Pandora Hope ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9631-8181 (unauthenticated)
Leader
Yes
Contact
Yes
Positions
Position
Principal or Chief Investigator
Position:
Principal or Chief Investigator
 Principal investigator refers to the person(s) in charge of a research project
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Conceptualization Methodology Project administration Supervision Writing original draft
Name Surendra Rauniyar ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8178-334X (unauthenticated)
Leader
Yes
Contact
Yes
Positions
Position
Principal or Chief Investigator
Position:
Principal or Chief Investigator
 Principal investigator refers to the person(s) in charge of a research project
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Formal analysis Methodology Project administration Supervision Writing original draft Conceptualization
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Formal analysis Methodology Writing original draft Conceptualization Software Data curation
Name Eun-Pa Lim ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8273-5358 (unauthenticated)
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Conceptualization Formal analysis Methodology Supervision Writing original draft
Name Amy Gallant Sullivan ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0009-0002-4301-6443 (unauthenticated)
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Supervision
Name S. Sharmila ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8102-2356 (unauthenticated)
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Formal analysis Methodology Writing original draft Conceptualization
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Conceptualization Formal analysis Methodology Writing original draft
Name Shayne McGregor ORCID Logo (unauthenticated)
Contributor ID ORCID Logo https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3222-7042 (unauthenticated)
Leader
No
Contact
No
Positions
Position
Co-investigator or Collaborator
Position:
Co-investigator or Collaborator
 A Co-Investigator is a senior or key investigator involved in a research project who does not have the overall responsibility and authority of the Principal Investigator
Start Date
01-Jan-2025
End Date
31-Dec-2026
Roles
Supervision

Organisations

Roles
Role
Lead Research Organisation
Role:
Lead Research Organisation
 The research organistion administratively responsible for the project; administering organisation
Start Date
2025-01-01
End Date
2026-12-31
Roles
Role
Partner Organisation
Role:
Partner Organisation
 A non-research organisation, such as an industry, government, or community partner that is collaborating on the project or activity, as a research partner rather than a hired consultant or contractor
Start Date
2025-01-01
End Date
2026-12-31
Roles
Role
Funder
Role:
Funder
 Organisation underwriting the research via a cash or in-kind grant, prize, or investment, but not otherwise listed as a research organisation, partner organisation or contractor.
Start Date
2025-01-01
End Date
2026-12-31

RelatedObjects

No Entries

Alternate Identifier

No Entries

Alternate URLs

No Entries

Related RAiDs

Title
NESP Climate Systems Hub (10.71821/a945d761)
Relation
IsPartOf
Relation:
IsPartOf
 Relates a subproject back to its parent project
└─▶
Title
NESP 2 | National Environmental Science Program Phase 2 (10.71821/23fcbc6f)
Relation
IsPartOf
Relation:
IsPartOf
 Relates a subproject back to its parent project
Title
NESP 2 | National Environmental Science Program Phase 2 (10.71821/23fcbc6f)
Relation
IsPartOf
Relation:
IsPartOf
 Relates a subproject back to its parent project

Access

Type
Open Access
Type:
Open Access
 Open access refers to a resource that is immediately and permanently online, and free for all on the Web, without financial and technical barriers.The resource is either stored in the repository or referenced to an external journal or trustworthy archive.
Language
Text
Embargo Expiry

Subjects

Subject
Climate change science not elsewhere classified (370299)
Keywords
Text
Attribution
Language
eng
Text
Climate model evaluation
Language
eng
Subject
Climate change processes (370201)
Keywords
Text
Land-surface interactions
Language
eng
Subject
Meteorology (370108)
Keywords
Text
Rainfall
Language
eng
Text
Atmospheric circulation
Language
eng
Text
El Nino - Southern Oscillation
Language
eng
Text
Southern Annular Mode
Language
eng

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