NESP RL Project 4.12 - Predicting dangerous heat events for spectacled flying-foxes
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"text": "Spectacled flying-foxes play important roles in tropical forest ecosystems as key pollinators and seed dispersers. In Australia, their distribution spans across the Wet Tropics region and the rainforests of Cape York in northern Queensland.\n\nSpectacled flying-fox populations have declined significantly due to historical habitat loss. But their most pressing and immediate threat is mass mortality associated with extreme heat. An extreme heatwave in 2018 resulted in the death of approximately one-third of the population. Since that event, spectacled flying-foxes have been listed as Endangered.\n\nAlthough extreme heat events are rare phenomena in the Australian Wet Tropics region, their frequency and intensity have notably increased in the last decades.\n\nThrough this project, researchers aim to better understand how heat waves affect flying-fox populations, and to forecast and identify the specific roosting sites where flying-foxes will be most vulnerable during high-risk heat events. This information will help provide actionable guidance on the most effective interventions to mitigate the impact of these extreme events.\n\nInterventions might include misting systems, roost-exclusion measures, and targeted revegetation efforts designed to alter the thermal environment and enhance the species’ chances of survival during extreme heat events.\n\n### Key research areas\nTo reduce the impacts of extreme heat on spectacled flying-foxes, this project is:\n* mapping heat conditions at key roosts to identify when and where flying-foxes are most at risk\n* combining weather forecasts and physiological models to predict heat-related mortality at specific sites\n* working with Traditional Owners, local governments and managers to guide practical interventions and decision-making.\n\n### Pathway to impact\nThis project will:\n* improve preparedness for dangerous heat events by providing clear predictions of when, where and how spectacled flying-foxes are most at risk\n* support targeted, more effective on-ground responses through clear guidance on priority actions during heat events\n* provide tools and approaches that can be applied elsewhere to support climate-adaptation planning for threatened species.",
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